Modelling motorcyclist injury severity by various crash types at T-junctions in the UK

Chih Wei Pai, Wafaa Saleh

研究成果: 雜誌貢獻文章同行評審

83 引文 斯高帕斯(Scopus)


Motorcyclists tend to be more vulnerable to injuries than those using other motorised vehicles and this may act synergistically with the complexity of conflicting movements between vehicles and motorcycles to increase injury severity in a junction-type accident. A junction-type crash can be more severe to motorcyclists than a non-junction case due to the fact that some of the injurious crashes such as angle crash commonly occur. Previous studies have applied crash prediction models to investigate influential factors on the occurrences of different crashes among motorised vehicles but statistical models of motorcyclist injury severity resulting from different collision types have rarely been developed. This paper develops injury severity models for different collision-types conditioned on crash occurrence at T-junctions in the UK. The ordered logit models are estimated using human, weather, road and vehicle factors as predictors and the data for the model estimation were extracted from the STATS19 accident injury database (1991-2004). The modelling results show that motorcyclist injury severity in specific crash types is associated with predictor variables in different ways. This study offers a guideline for future research, as well as insight into potential prevention strategies that might help prevent the most hazardous situation(s) from occurring in different collision types.
頁(從 - 到)1234-1247
期刊Safety Science
出版狀態已發佈 - 10月 2008

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • 化學健康與安全
  • 安全、風險、可靠性和品質
  • 公共衛生、環境和職業健康
  • 健康職業 (全部)
  • 人因工程和人體工學
  • 安全研究


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