Estimating the number of HIV-infected gay sauna patrons in Taipei area

Ying Hen Hsieh, Cathy W.S. Chen, Shen Ming Lee, Yi Ming A. Chen, Shiow Ing Wu, Shu Fen Lai, An Lung Chang

研究成果: 雜誌貢獻文章同行評審

2 引文 斯高帕斯(Scopus)


We make use of the voluntary HIV and syphilis test results conducted at five gay saunas in Taipei from August of 1999 to end of 2002 to estimate the number of HIV-positive gay saunas patrons in Taipei area by utilizing Hierarchical Bayes method in Generalized Removal Model for Open Populations (GERMO). Considering the effect of a nearby anonymous HIV quick test program on the gay sauna HIV serotesting data, we make use of the association between HIV and syphilis serotesting results from the gay sauna program to amend possible measurement error occurred at the time of data collection by utilizing the regression calibration method. The median estimates for the number of HIV-positive patrons of the five gay saunas increase from 120 (95% CI: 76.5-159.0) during the first half of 2000 to 224 (95% CI: 171.0-265.5) for the second half of 2002. The result, indicating two-fold increase within two and half years, confirms that the gay sauna patrons in Taipei area are at high risk for HIV infection.
頁(從 - 到)495-503
期刊Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
出版狀態已發佈 - 4月 1 2006

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • 統計與概率
  • 凝聚態物理學


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