TY - JOUR
T1 - Artificial intelligence-assisted prediction of preeclampsia
T2 - Development and external validation of a nationwide health insurance dataset of the BPJS Kesehatan in Indonesia
AU - Sufriyana, Herdiantri
AU - Wu, Yu Wei
AU - Su, Emily Chia Yu
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 The Author(s)
PY - 2020/4
Y1 - 2020/4
N2 - Background: We developed and validated an artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted prediction of preeclampsia applied to a nationwide health insurance dataset in Indonesia. Methods: The BPJS Kesehatan dataset have been preprocessed using a nested case-control design into preeclampsia/eclampsia (n = 3318) and normotensive pregnant women (n = 19,883) from all women with one pregnancy. The dataset provided 95 features consisting of demographic variables and medical histories started from 24 months to event and ended by delivery as the event. Six algorithms were compared by area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) with a subgroup analysis by time to the event. We compared our model to similar prediction models from systematically reviewed studies. In addition, we conducted a text mining analysis based on natural language processing techniques to interpret our modeling results. Findings: The best model consisted of 17 predictors extracted by a random forest algorithm. Nine∼12 months to the event was the period that had the best AUROC in external validation by either geographical (0.88, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.88–0.89) or temporal split (0.86, 95% CI 0.85–0.86). We compared this model to prediction models in seven studies from 869 records in PUBMED, EMBASE, and SCOPUS. This model outperformed the previous models in terms of the precision, sensitivity, and specificity in all validation sets. Interpretation: Our low-cost model improved preliminary prediction to decide pregnant women that will be predicted by the models with high specificity and advanced predictors. Funding: This work was supported by grant no. MOST108-2221-E-038-018 from the Ministry of Science and Technology of Taiwan.
AB - Background: We developed and validated an artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted prediction of preeclampsia applied to a nationwide health insurance dataset in Indonesia. Methods: The BPJS Kesehatan dataset have been preprocessed using a nested case-control design into preeclampsia/eclampsia (n = 3318) and normotensive pregnant women (n = 19,883) from all women with one pregnancy. The dataset provided 95 features consisting of demographic variables and medical histories started from 24 months to event and ended by delivery as the event. Six algorithms were compared by area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) with a subgroup analysis by time to the event. We compared our model to similar prediction models from systematically reviewed studies. In addition, we conducted a text mining analysis based on natural language processing techniques to interpret our modeling results. Findings: The best model consisted of 17 predictors extracted by a random forest algorithm. Nine∼12 months to the event was the period that had the best AUROC in external validation by either geographical (0.88, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.88–0.89) or temporal split (0.86, 95% CI 0.85–0.86). We compared this model to prediction models in seven studies from 869 records in PUBMED, EMBASE, and SCOPUS. This model outperformed the previous models in terms of the precision, sensitivity, and specificity in all validation sets. Interpretation: Our low-cost model improved preliminary prediction to decide pregnant women that will be predicted by the models with high specificity and advanced predictors. Funding: This work was supported by grant no. MOST108-2221-E-038-018 from the Ministry of Science and Technology of Taiwan.
KW - Artificial intelligence
KW - Clinical prediction rule
KW - Health insurance dataset
KW - Machine learning
KW - Natural language processing
KW - Preeclampsia
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U2 - 10.1016/j.ebiom.2020.102710
DO - 10.1016/j.ebiom.2020.102710
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85082864605
SN - 2352-3964
VL - 54
JO - EBioMedicine
JF - EBioMedicine
M1 - 102710
ER -