Association between atrial fibrillation and risk of end-stage renal disease among adults with diabetes mellitus

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is an important risk factor in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). DM is associated with the development of cardiovascular diseases, such as atrial fibrillation (AF), due to poor glycemic control. However, few studies have focused on the risk of developing ESRD among DM patients with and without AF. This study evaluated ESRD risk among DM patients with and without AF in Taiwan. Data were retrieved from one million patients randomly sampled from Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database, including 6,105 DM patients with AF propensity score–matched with 6,105 DM patients without AF. Both groups were followed until death, any dialysis treatment, or December 31, 2013, whichever occurred first. AF was diagnosed by a qualified physician according to the International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM), using the diagnostic code 427.31. Patients aged <20 years or diagnosed with ESRD before the index date were excluded. A Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to calculate the relative ESRD risk. Among DM patients, those with AF have more comorbidities than those without AF. We also found a 1.18-fold (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01–1.46) increase in ESRD risk among patients with AF compared with those without AF. In addition, DM patients with hypertension, chronic kidney disease (CKD), or higher Charlson Comorbidity Index scores also have significantly increased ESRD risks than those without these complications. A 1.39-fold (95% CI: 1.04–1.86) increase in risk was observed for patients with AF among the non-CKD group. Our findings suggest that patients with DM should be closely monitored for irregular or rapid heart rates.